New World Economics

By: Nathan Lewis
all contents copyright Nathan Lewis 2005-2013

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Contact: nathan@newworldeconomics.com
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"Easily the most important book of 2013 ... and the best book on money that's yet been written"
-- John Tamny (RealClearMarkets.com)


Want a basic introduction? Watch a thirty-minute presentation given at the Cato Institute in February 2014,
or this
two-minute video on how to introduce and use a parallel currency.

Read my previous book, Gold: the Once and Future Money (2007), available in five languages worldwide.

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Click Here for the Traditional City/Heroic Materialism Archive
 



Item at Forbes.com:
July 24, 2014: On the Path To a Better Monetary System: Bretton Woods Didn't Fail Because of the "Balance of Payments"



The Bank of France, 1915-1940


July 27, 2014


We continue our look at central banks in the 1914-1941 period.

July 20, 2014: The Bank of England, 1914-1941
July 18, 2014: Foreign Exchange Rates 1913-1941 #8: A Brief Summary
January 19, 2014: The Federal Reserve in the 1930s
January 26, 2014: The Federal Reserve in the 1930s #2: Interest Rates

The source of our data is the Federal Reserve Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1914-1941.

http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/publication/?pid=38


Today, we have the Bank of France. Here's a brief history of the French franc.



The Bank of France, like most central banks worldwide, printed money to help finance WWI. This actually continued after the end of hostilities, as was the case elsewhere as well. The result was that the value of the franc declined to about one-fifth of its prewar gold parity. In 1926, the franc was repegged to gold, which was made official in 1928. The franc was devalued in 1936, and then slid downward further into WWII.




The first data series is annual, as of the year-end. The December 31, 1915 data appears next to the indicator for 1916. When looking at this, remember that gold (and perhaps foreign exchange) is valued at prewar parity assumptions, not market prices. We see the large increase in "advances to goverment" (i.e., loans), due to wartime financing. This actually continues after the war, especially in 1925-26. The first datapoint here is 1915-end, so we don't get to see the expansion during 1914 and 1915.



Base money also grows considerably, mostly in the form of notes in circulation. Again, this data is from 1915-end. We can see that there was no particular contraction of base money with the repegging of the franc to gold in 1926.



Now it gets a little more interesting, with monthly data. This is a new data series, and doesn't quite correspond with the older one. Here are some notes to the data:

"Gold revalued in June 1928, October 1936, July 1937, November 1938, and March 1940." The value of the gold (in terms of francs) is changed to reflect the new parity value imposed in 1926.

"[foreign exchange assets and other liabilities] includes foreign exchange loaned, not previously included in assets or liabilities." (Borrowing and lending in foreign currencies seems to have been eliminated by the end of 1928.)

"In each of the weeks ending April 20 and August 3, 1939, 5 billion francs of gold transferred from Exchange Stabilization Fund to the Bank of France; in week ending March 7, 1940, 30 billion francs of gold transferred from Bank of France to Stabilization Fund."

We see a big decline in foreign exchange assets (foreign government bonds, mostly British government bonds I expect) beginning at the end of 1931. With the Bank of England devaluing the pound (and thus the value of British government bonds), beginning September 1931, you would expect that. Several other governments followed, as we looked into recently. The extent to which this decline in foreign exchange assets represents a decline in market value, and what extent it represents selling, is unclear. However, it is clear that, after 1931, the Bank of France had no interest in holding the bonds of other governments that were devaluing their currencies. It appears that the Bank of France sold their bonds and bought gold bullion. Nothing in particular wrong with that, and a very sensible thing to do at the time.

After 1936, France appears to relapse again into printing-press finance. The Bank of France revives "advances to government" (loans), along with a big jump in "other assets" which are probably a similar sort of thing, such as a special-issue treasury bond or something of that sort.



We see that base money, during this time period, consisted mostly of notes in circulation. Base money did not expand all that much immediately before or after the 1936 devaluation. However, afterwards it expands rather aggressively, related to printing-press finance. Not surprisingly, the franc's value declined during this period 1936-1940. We see that the decision to change the composition of reserve assets, removing foreign bonds and adding more gold bullion, did not lead to any particular changes in base money as a whole.









Recent Commentary:


Click Here for the Traditional City/Heroic Materialism Archive
Click Here for the How Banks Work series
Click Here for the NWE Six-Month Ultimate Health and Fitness Program

July 24, 2014: On the Path To a Better Monetary System: Bretton Woods Didn't Fail Because of the "Balance of Payments"
July 20, 2014: The Bank of England, 1914-1941
July 18, 2014: Foreign Exchange Rates 1913-1941 #8: A Brief Summary
July 17, 2014: Devaluations of the 1930s Don't Justify Today's Funny Money Excess
July 13, 2014: HTMAPODWTTC 13: Getting Other People's Cooperation
July 10, 2014: Paul Volcker Dreams of a "New Bretton Woods." But What Would That Look Like?

July 3, 2014: The "Income Inequality" Debate Is Not About Income Inequality
June 22, 2014: Foreign Exchange Rates 1913-1941 #7: Switzerland's Independence; Turkey Avoids Devaluation
June 19, 2014: Explaining "Freaky Friday" -- How the Gold Guys Became Their Own Worst Enemies

June 4, 2014: Health and Fitness 2014: The Rest of Your Life
June 3, 2014: Book Review: Steve Forbes Leads the New Renaissance in Monetary Understanding
June 1, 2014: Foreign Exchange Rates 1913-1941 #6: Hyperinflation in Poland; Russia's WWI Decline
May 25, 2014: Foreign Exchange Rates 1913-1941 #5: Devaluations By Japan and France
May 22, 2014: GoldMoney is the Answer to "Nonphysical Currency" Ambitions
May 18, 2014: HTMAPODWTTC 12: Trailer Parks and Mobile Home Parks
May 15, 2014: Book Review: Ron Paul's End the Fed Condenses a Lifetime of Wisdom and Experience

May 8, 2014: Environmentalism is the Key to Growth
April 27, 2014: Foreign Exchange Rates 1913-1941 #4: Britain Leads the World Into Currency Chaos

April 20, 2014: Foreign Exchange Rates 1913-1941 #3: The Brief Rebuilding of the World Gold Standard System

April 17, 2014: China Doesn't Need Much Gold To Create a Gold-Based Dollar Alternative

April 13, 2014: Arterial Streets and Grand Boulevards
April 6, 2014: Foreign Exchange Rates 1913-1941 #2: The Currency Upheavals of the Interwar Period

March 30, 2014: Foreign Exchange Rates 1913-1941: Just Looking At the Data

March 20, 2014: The Gold Standard Guys Are Their Own Worst Enemies

March 13, 2014: Why I Made My Latest Book Available For Free

March 6, 2014: Bitcoin Proves Friedman's Big Plan Was a Joke

March 2, 2014: The Eco-Technic Civilization


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